Published Paper Details:

Energy sector related emissions is considered as mainly responsible for anthropogenic climate change in the World and in India as well. The study considered energy consumption for both direct consumption and for its use in the electricity generation also in case of both the total economy and three highly polluting sectors - Industry, Transport and Residential. It used Holt-Winters non-seasonal smoothing method to forecast the energy consumption and emissions for the period 2021-2047. Policy guided measures caused increase in non-fossil fuel consumption at the national level and is projected to increase in coming years. The share of non-fossil fuels is going to increase in Industrial sector due to increased use of biofuels and wastes, while that of fossil fuels is going to decrease in both direct and indirect use. Fuel efficiency of vehicle engines, gradual increase in urban metro rail services would cause decline in energy consumption in Transport sector but the share of fossil fuel would remain high. Due to increased urbanisation, mobility and higher electricity access would raise the projected share of fossil fuel in residential energy consumption. The study suggests increased coverage of Performance Achieve and Trade to include micro, small and medium enterprises with adequate financial assistance for higher research and development purpose to increase energy efficiency through technological improvement. Promotion of EVs with filling up the inadequacy in the related infrastructure, mass rapid transportation and increased fleet of public buses (EVs or CNG-run) for expanding urban areas with expansion of electrified rail networks. Measures like coverage of all types of houses under building code, standard and labels for sustainable consumption, etc. are useful to contain future residential sector emissions.