Published Paper Details:

Global warming is most burning environmental curses ever to face with human society during last few decades. There has been a serious change in climate of the world because of this warming that has become a nightmare to scientists, researcher and academicians throughout the globe as this change leads to a fatal situation for the existence of life on this planet. Increased emission of different green house gases (GHG) is responsible for this alarming situation. This study is an attempt to develop a model which reflect the Green House Gases emission pattern in the Indian states of Jharkhand. Carbon dioxide (CO2) is the leading green house gases which is responsible for Global Warming. Uncontrolled emission of the gas increases atmospheric temperature rapidly. Using historical data of carbon dioxide emission, a third-degree polynomial model has been developed analytically utilizing the method of least square. Quality of the proposed model is justified by the retrofitting process like regression analysis, residual analysis, coefficient of determination (R2) and adjusted R2 etc. The developed model well represents the gas emission and future prediction can be made through the Instantaneous Rate of Change (IROC) curve. The prediction in long/short term evolutionary trend of the gas emission analysed by IROC analysis. Proposed model gives good estimates and may be utilized for understanding the emission pattern of other green GHGs. This study is quite helpful for strategic warning and future planning so that the precautions can be taken in near future.