Published Paper Details:

Numerous past studies in Rice cultivation in India is criticized for using Johansson Co-integration test. Adjustment vector and also for analytical interpretation through Ordinary Least Squares creating spurious results for time series data the present paper estimates the modern techniques of co-integration with vector error correction model (VECM) restricts the long-run behaviour of the endogenous variables to converge their co-integrating relationships while allowing a wide range of short-run dynamics. In this article, attempts to predict the rice production and investigated the relationship among some other agriculture commodities like Wheat, cereals and pulse using Johansson co-integration test. In our result, the model fitted the data well and the stochastic seasonal variation was successfully model.Vector error correction model (VECM) was a proper method for modelling and forecasting the time series of yearly rice production data.