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Paper Title

Machine Learning-Driven Construction Cost Contingency: A Conceptual Framework and Future Research Directions

Authors

Madonna Nabil Roshdy , Ibrahim Abdel Rashid

Keywords

Artificial neural network; Conceptual framework; Construction projects; Cost contingency; Machine learning.

Abstract

Given the subjective nature of traditional techniques using set percentages or expert judgment, cost contingency estimation remains one of the hardest tasks when it comes to project planning. The influence of project properties, geographical location, contractor capacity, and prior cost overrun tendencies can hardly be taken into consideration by such techniques. To the best of this author's knowledge, there has been no paradigmatic framework developed specifically for cost contingency estimation in Egypt, while contemporary research indicates the potential of artificial intelligence approaches for construction cost estimation. Thirteen predictive factors grouped into project factors, geographic factors, and contractor risk and capacity factors are proposed as the basis of a framework for cost contingency prediction through machine learning. Data gathering on projects, data pre-processing, selection of predictors, development of a machine learning model, and decision support constitute the four steps of the recommended approach. Predictors are used to estimate a cost contingency percentage using a conceptual artificial neural network. In addition, the current paper lists some key shortcomings of existing literature, including insufficient number of samples, varying validation methods, poor generalizability, and absence of interpretability. Finally, the paper suggests some new avenues of research such as artificial intelligence, building information modeling, and Monte Carlo simulations. The proposed paradigm serves as a systematic basis for future empirical research.

How To Cite

Choose the style your journal or department asks for, then copy it. Every version below is generated from this paper's own record.

IJCRT — journal style
"Machine Learning-Driven Construction Cost Contingency: A Conceptual Framework and Future Research Directions", IJCRT - International Journal of Creative Research Thoughts (www.ijcrt.org), ISSN:2320-2882, Vol.14, Issue 4, page no.k412-k420, April 2026, Available :https://ijcrt.org/papers/IJCRT26A4207.pdf
APA — 7th edition
Roshdy, M. N., & Rashid, I. A. (2026). Machine Learning-Driven Construction Cost Contingency: A Conceptual Framework and Future Research Directions. International Journal of Creative Research Thoughts, 14(4), k412-k420. https://ijcrt.org/viewpaperforall.php?paper=IJCRT26A4207
MLA — 9th edition
Roshdy, Madonna Nabil, and Ibrahim Abdel Rashid. "Machine Learning-Driven Construction Cost Contingency: A Conceptual Framework and Future Research Directions." International Journal of Creative Research Thoughts, vol. 14, no. 4, 2026, pp. k412-k420, https://ijcrt.org/viewpaperforall.php?paper=IJCRT26A4207.
Chicago — 17th, bibliography
Roshdy, Madonna Nabil, and Ibrahim Abdel Rashid. "Machine Learning-Driven Construction Cost Contingency: A Conceptual Framework and Future Research Directions." International Journal of Creative Research Thoughts 14, no. 4 (2026): k412-k420. https://ijcrt.org/viewpaperforall.php?paper=IJCRT26A4207.
Harvard — author–date
Roshdy, M.N. and Rashid, I.A. (2026) 'Machine Learning-Driven Construction Cost Contingency: A Conceptual Framework and Future Research Directions', International Journal of Creative Research Thoughts, 14(4), pp. k412-k420. Available at: https://ijcrt.org/viewpaperforall.php?paper=IJCRT26A4207
IEEE — numbered reference
M. N. Roshdy and I. A. Rashid, "Machine Learning-Driven Construction Cost Contingency: A Conceptual Framework and Future Research Directions," IJCRT, vol. 14, no. 4, pp. k412-k420, Apr. 2026.
Vancouver — biomedical
Roshdy MN, Rashid IA. Machine Learning-Driven Construction Cost Contingency: A Conceptual Framework and Future Research Directions. IJCRT. 2026 Apr;14(4):k412-k420.
AMA — 11th edition
Roshdy MN, Rashid IA. Machine Learning-Driven Construction Cost Contingency: A Conceptual Framework and Future Research Directions. IJCRT. 2026;14(4):k412-k420. Accessed at https://ijcrt.org/viewpaperforall.php?paper=IJCRT26A4207
BibTeX — Zotero, Mendeley, LaTeX
@article{IJCRT26A4207, author = {Madonna Nabil Roshdy and Ibrahim Abdel Rashid}, title = {Machine Learning-Driven Construction Cost Contingency: A Conceptual Framework and Future Research Directions}, journal = {International Journal of Creative Research Thoughts}, volume = {14}, number = {4}, pages = {k412-k420}, year = {2026}, month = {April}, issn = {2320-2882}, url = {https://ijcrt.org/viewpaperforall.php?paper=IJCRT26A4207} }
RIS — EndNote, RefWorks
TY - JOUR AU - Roshdy, Madonna Nabil AU - Rashid, Ibrahim Abdel TI - Machine Learning-Driven Construction Cost Contingency: A Conceptual Framework and Future Research Directions T2 - International Journal of Creative Research Thoughts JA - IJCRT VL - 14 IS - 4 PY - 2026 SN - 2320-2882 UR - https://ijcrt.org/viewpaperforall.php?paper=IJCRT26A4207 SP - k412-k420 ER -

Issue

Volume 14 Issue 4, April-2026
Pages : k412-k420

Article Information

Pages
k412-k420
Published
April 2026
Registration ID
IJCRT_306971
Published Paper ID
IJCRT26A4207
Research Area
Science and Technology
Author Type
Foreign Author
Location
Cairo, Egypt, Egypt
Licence
CC BY 4.0 · Open Access
ISSN & Impact Factor
2320-2882 · IF 9.17
Downloads
105

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International Journal of Creative Research Thoughts Published by IJCRT Publication
2320-2882 ISSN
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Impact Factor 9.17, calculated from Google Scholar citation data — see how it is worked out.
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© 2026 — Authors hold the copyright of this article. This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License and The Open Definition. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
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Declarations

Funding

No external funding was received for this study.

Conflict of Interest

The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

Acknowledgements

The authors would like to thank the reviewers and the editorial board of International Journal of Creative Research Thoughts for their careful reading and constructive comments, and all colleagues who supported the preparation of this manuscript.

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